Research Charts Everviz Testing

A Look at Monthly Volatility and Equity and Options Volumes

[Everviz Demo – US Capital Formation w/totals Script Embed Code]

[Everviz – US Capital Formation w/totals iFrame Code – Colors match]

 

 

 

 

Monthly Metrics

  • Volatility (VIX): Monthly average 15.24; -3.9% M/M, -44.4% Y/Y
  • S&P 500 (Price): Monthly average 4,409.10; -1.1% M/M, +14.5% Y/Y
  • Performance (month/year): best = energy/communications +0.4%/+39.4%; worst = real estate/utilities -7.8%/-16.5%
  • Equity ADV: Monthly average 10.3 billion shares; -1.8% M/M, -9.3% Y/Y
  • Options ADV: Monthly average 41.4 million contracts; -4.7% M/M, -3.1% Y/Y

Monthly Highlight

  • Inflation, rising rates, recession, regional bank turmoil, debt ceiling debate, and a U.S. sovereign debt downgrade by a ratings agency, yet markets remain in positive territory.
  • Seven stocks are driving this performance, representing 26.1% of total SPX market cap on average for the year (through September), or 28.5% on average for September. Top 7 stocks +31.7% to +97.7% YTD vs, SPX +11.7%.
  • However, performance trends have worsened as we moved through the year. Top 7 stocks: 1H23 +35.7% to +189.5%, 3Q23 -11.0% to +9.1%, and September -10.3% to +2.1%.
  • The equal weighted index, the SPW is flat for the year, +0.3%: 1H23 +6.0%, 3Q23 -5.7%, & September -5.6%.
  • An increasingly important factor is the rise in long rates: UST 10-year at 4.688, +188.0% since 2022, +18.4% since July. With this increase, the SPX declined more sharply in August/September.