Program
7:45 a.m. - 8:15 a.m.
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Registration and Continental Breakfast
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8:20 a.m. - 8:30 a.m.
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Welcome
Randy Snook Senior Managing Director, EVP SIFMA
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8:30 a.m. - 8:50 a.m.
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Chairman's Welcome & CDO Market Overview
Speaker:
Jonathan Horowitz Managing Director Morgan Stanley
2007 Chairman, SIFMA CDO Committee
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8:50 a.m. - 9:40 a.m.
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The View from Research
Hear the research analyst perspective on a number of timely topics including: the timing of return of CLO market, prospects for synthetic CDOs and CPDO / CPPIs, SIV-lites and other market value deals, the future of ABS CDO market : i.e. how real is distressed money, and differentiating between commercial and residential ABS CDOs
Moderator:
Ratul Roy Director Head of CDO Research Citigroup
Panelists:
Claude Laberge Senior Vice President Lehman Brothers
Douglas Lucas Head of CDO Research UBS
Vishwanath Tirupattur Executive Director
Research Morgan Stanley
David Yan, Ph.D., CFA Director
Head of CDO Research Credit Suisse
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9:40 a.m. - 10:30 a.m.
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The Future of the CDO Market
This panel will discuss recent turmoil in credit markets, lessons learned and the outlook for the future. Panelists will address price discovery in cash CDOs due to the advent of derivative products, as well as as innovations such as CPDOs and CPPI - will they survive? Other key themes will be the value of credit selection and prudent management, and balancing the fundamentals and technicals in this market
Moderator:
Gaurav Tejwani Vice President Structured Credit Strategy Lehman Brothers
Panelists:
James Damron Senior Manging Director PPM America
Abhishek Bhutra Vice President Old Lane LP
Hansol Kim Director Financial Security Assurance, Inc.
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| 10:30 a.m. - 10:50 a.m. |
Break
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10:50 a.m. - 11:40 a.m.
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Update on the Subprime Mortgage Market
Jay Hallik, Head of US ABS and ABS Correlation Trading at Morgan Stanley, will give an in-depth update on the state of the subprime mortgage market, the outlook for the future, and the continuing implications for CDO and other ABS market participants.
Speaker:
Jay Hallik Executive Director Head of US ABS and ABS Correlation Trading Morgan Stanley
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11:40 a.m. - 12:30 p.m.
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The Rating Agency Perspective
Listen to senior rating agency representatives discuss the state of CDOs and that of ABS CDOs in particular. Is there something fundamentally wrong with the CDO rating process or were the rating agencies just as blind to the risk as other market participants? Are ABS CDOs being downgraded too fast or too slow? How will changes to CDO rating criteria help the market going forward?
Moderator:
Douglas Lucas Head of CDO Research UBS
Panelists:
Eric Kolchinsky Managing Director Moody's Investors Serveice
John Schiavetta Managing Director DerivativeFitch
David Tesher Managing Director Standard & Poor's
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12:30 p.m. - 2:00 p.m.
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Lunch and Luncheon Speaker
Gyan Sinha Senior Managing Director Bear Stearns & Co. Inc.
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2:00 p.m. - 2:50 p.m.
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Liquidity, the Bank Loan Market, and the Consequences for CLOs
This panel will examine the loan and CLO markets in light of recent stress in the credit markets, and will help to answer questions such as: Have we seen the bottom? When can we expect the bank loan market to once again enjoy widespread liquidity? Why did the Fed lowering interest rates have such a positive and immediate impact on the bank loan market? How will the forward calendar and hung underwritten pipeline affect loan prices over the coming months? How much more of a decline in loan prices is possible if fundamental problems started occurring? What are the prospects for broad fundamental issues arising in the near future?
Moderator:
Paul Gehrig Managing Director Wachovia Securities
Panelists:
Hans Christensen Chief Investment Officer MJX Asset Management
Mike Clawson Loan Trading Wachovia
Richard Kurth Managing Director Silvermine Capital Management
James Lau Principal American Capital Strategies
Stephen D. Sautel Managing Director Guggenheim Partners
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2:50 p.m. - 3:40 p.m.
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Investors / Issuers Roundtable This panel will examine a question asked of and by many participants: “where are we now?”. How did the market get to this point, and where it might be headed?
Moderator:
Ira Wagner Senior Managing Director Bear Stearns
Panelists:
Alex Cigolle Chief Investment Officer of Strategos Capital Management LLC Cohen and Company
Scott Gordon Managing Director AMBAC
Mike Rosenberg Managing Director Polygon Investment Partners
Kevin Petrovcik Managing Director Invesco
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3:40 p.m. - 4:00 p.m.
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Break
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4:00 p.m. - 4:50 p.m.
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Traders and Secondary Market Issues
Hear a panel of CDO traders discuss a range of important issues for the secondary market, including: Where is the value today? What is fair value? When will ABS CDO be cheap enough to override fundamental issues? Which issues are overblown? Which issues deserve additional negative press? What type of buyer is best positioned to do well in the current environment?
Moderator:
Scott Williams London Structured Trading Wachovia Securities
Panelists:
Kevin Alexander Managing Director,
Head of CDO Trading and Hybrid Structured Products Natixis
Ross Heller Vice President JP Morgan Securities
Shalini Sriram Trader Morgan Stanley
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4:50 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.
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Conclusion/Thank you
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SIFMA would like to thank the following additional sponsors for supporting the CDO Investors Conference:
Advocate Sponsor Thacher Proffitt & Wood
Lanyards sponsored by Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.
Tabletop sponsored by Derivative Fitch
Tabletop sponsored by Moody’s
Tabletop sponsored by Standard & Poor’s